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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 20
Mar 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
2 - 0
Horsens

Mortensen (27' pen.), Aurel Bisseck (60')
Beijmo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ludwig (72'), Musonda (90+2'), Jensen (90+3')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and AC Horsens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Silkeborg
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Horsens 0-3 Viborg
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for AC Horsens had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest AC Horsens win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawAC Horsens
41.26% (-1.32 -1.32) 26.45% (0.07 0.07) 32.29% (1.248 1.25)
Both teams to score 52% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (0.101 0.1)52.68% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09)74.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)25.19% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (-0.877 -0.88)59.92% (0.874 0.87)
AC Horsens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.905 0.91)30.48% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (1.066 1.07)66.7% (-1.069 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 41.25%
    AC Horsens 32.29%
    Draw 26.44%
AarhusDrawAC Horsens
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 6pm
Horsens
2-1
Aarhus
Jacobsen (59'), Sigurdarson (80' pen.)
Mortensen (28')
Molgaard (47'), Poulsen (63')
Dec 13, 2020 1pm
Horsens
1-2
Aarhus
Brock-Madsen (67' pen.)
Hansson (46')
Links (42'), Diks (85')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (64'), Munksgaard (76'), Helenius (83'), Diks (83')
Oct 18, 2020 1pm
Aarhus
3-0
Horsens
Gronbaek (31'), Mortensen (53'), Hojer Nielsen (68')
Poulsen (62')

Buus (17'), Hansson (50'), Gemmer (89')
Jacobsen (66')
Feb 24, 2020 6pm
Horsens
1-2
Aarhus
Kiilerich (34')
Kiilerich (76'), Drost (90')
Mortensen (14'), Hojer Nielsen (55')
Aug 19, 2019 6pm
Aarhus
2-0
Horsens
Helenius (45'), Bundu (61')
Eskelinen (85'), Ankersen (94')

Jacobsen (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Copenhagen1796232191333
2FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland1710343122933
3RandersRanders1786331191230
4AarhusAarhus1777330171328
5Brondby177643122927
6SilkeborgSilkeborg176832923626
7Nordsjaelland177553029126
8Viborg FFViborg175662927221
9Aalborg BKAaB174581831-1317
10SonderjyskESonderjyskE174492137-1616
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub171791224-1210
12Vejle1713131640-246


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