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Denmark national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Israel national football team

Denmark
5 - 0
Israel

Poulsen (28'), Kjaer (31'), Skov Olsen (41'), Delaney (58'), Cornelius (90+1')
Christensen (33'), Norgaard (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Dgani (26'), Glazer (38'), Menachem (79'), Abd Elhamed (90')

Preview: Denmark vs. Israel - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Denmark and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Back-to-back victories have helped Denmark take command of Group F, and they now attempt to finish with full points from their World Cup Qualifying triple-header after hosting Israel on Tuesday.

While their visitors are now up into second place in the battle for a playoff place, another win would establish Danish dominance and help them put one foot on the plane to Qatar.


Match preview

Denmark's Joakim Mahle scores their second goal against Scotland during a World Cup qualifier on September 1, 2021© Reuters

Only weeks after the disappointment of missing out in the Euro 2020 semi-finals, Denmark have fought back with characteristic determination in the current international period.

They first outclassed Scotland in Copenhagen to establish a seven-point gap to the Tartan Army, as Daniel Wass headed an early opener before his fellow wide-man Joakim Maehle received a Mikkel Damsgaard pass and added the second not long after.

Kasper Hjulmand's men made heavier weather of it at the weekend, though, when they struggled to batter down the defences of North Sea neighbours Faroe Islands, and only Jonas Wind's late strike saved their blushes in a 1-0 win.

That success maintains their 100% start to the qualifying process, though, and they are yet to concede so far - while netting 17 times themselves.

Results including a 2-0 win in Israel - when Wind made one and scored the other against Willi Ruttensteiner's team - plus crushing victories over Moldova and Austria, mean that the Danes sit top of Group F, some five points clear of their nearest challengers.

Due to Scotland's apparent lack of firepower and Austria's defensive deficiencies, the Israelis have become their closest rivals, so another three points on Tuesday could prove decisive in determining their fate as group winners.

Israel's Eran Zahavi celebrates scoring against Scotland on Septmeber 4, 2020© Reuters

During the last week, Israel have established themselves in second spot, having posted a four-point haul in the first phase of qualifying in March and subsequently followed up with victory against the Faroe Islands and a spectacular success against Euro 2020 finalists Austria.

Hot on the heels of their 4-0 win over the Faroes, the Blue and Whites welcomed Austria to Haifa on Saturday evening, and they stunned their visitors by racing into a three-goal lead before the break and ultimately ending up 5-2 winners.

In-form striker Eran Zahavi notched his fourth and fifth goals of the week by scoring either side of the interval, while several other members of a talented front line also found the target, as an unexpected result made many observers sit up and take notice.

Attacking weapons such as Hoffenheim's Munas Dabbur, Shakhtar Donetsk winger Manor Solomon and substitute striker Shon Weissman offer plenty of final-third options for an improving side, so head coach Ruttensteiner - an Austrian by birth - will be confident of maintaining a playoff push.

Israel's hopes of making the trip to the Gulf next winter - and their first global finals since 1970 - remain very much alive, but they now face their toughest test of the entire campaign at the inimitable Parken Stadion.

Denmark World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Denmark form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Israel World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Israel form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Denmark manager Kasper Hjulmand June 2, 2021© Reuters

As expected, Kasper Hjulmand made a number of changes to his XI for the trip to Torshavn at the weekend, but is set to bring his regular starters back into the lineup on Tuesday night.

Wing-back Joakim Maehle and the midfield duo of Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg are among those poised to return, while Jonas Wind could be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen despite his winning goal against the Faroes.

Barcelona forward Martin Braithwaite joins Kasper Dolberg, Jannik Vestergaard, Philip Billing and Malmo midfielder Anders Christiansen among those unavailable due to injury.

Israel, meanwhile, will be led by Munas Dabbur up front, as he hopes to continue a hot streak of form. He should receive support from the experienced pair of Bibras Natkho and Eran Zahavi, who will drive the visitors' attacking efforts if selected ahead of young Celtic forward Liel Abada and Shon Weissman - both of whom are more likely to feature from the bench.

Though they have reported no new injury concerns, Willi Ruttensteiner may feel the need to rotate - as it will be his side's third game in a week - so Dan Glazer and Ofri Arad are possible starters in midfield and defence respectively.

Denmark possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Kjaer, Anderson, Christensen; Wass, Delaney, Hojbjerg, Maehle; Damsgaard, Poulsen, Skov Olsen

Israel possible starting lineup:
Marciano; Arad, Tibi, Dgani; Dasa, Natkho, Biton, Menahem; Solomon, Zahavi, Dabbur


SM words green background

We say: Denmark 2-1 Israel

Though Denmark's flawless qualifying record is likely to come under threat from in-form Israel - who have won three on the spin themselves - the hosts' combination of grit and experience should see them over the line against a potent attacking unit.

The contribution of their wing-backs is likely to give the Danes an edge, and victory will virtually assure that nothing prevents them from reaching next year's finals.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:462524:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11560:
Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Israel had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Denmark vs Israel

Denmark
73.8%
Draw
14.0%
Israel
12.2%
164
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