Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
SBV Excelsior1 - 2De Graafschap
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamdaoui (3'), Seuntjens (89')
Schuurman (4'), Hamdaoui (72')
Schuurman (4'), Hamdaoui (72')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and De Graafschap.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 31.29% | 22.35% | 46.37% |
| Both teams to score 65.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.65% | 34.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.74% | 56.25% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.49% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% | 15.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.83% | 44.17% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 31.29%
De Graafschap 46.37%
Draw 22.35%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 5.61% 2-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.37% |
Head to Head
May 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 38
Excelsior
P-P
De Graafschap
Nov 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 13
De Graafschap
0-0
Excelsior
Jan 26, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
2-0
De Graafschap
Oct 27, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 10
De Graafschap
4-1
Excelsior
Jan 16, 2016 7.45pm
De Graafschap
2-0
Excelsior
Kaak (72'), Vermeij (92')
Form Guide
