Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.