EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport2 - 0Swansea
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Swansea City |
| 37.05% | 26.15% | 36.8% |
| Both teams to score 53.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
