Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
We said: Willem II 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Waalwijk could really do with a positive result here, but their struggles at both ends of the pitch could mean another fruitless outing.
We fancy Willem II to collect maximum points this weekend and heap more misery on their visitors.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 55.43% . A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.98%) . The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result Willem II Draw RKC Waalwijk 55.43% ( 2.36) 21.58% ( -0.26) 23% ( -2.1)
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -1.65)
62.46% ( -1.04) 37.54% ( 1.04)
40.23% ( -1.13) 59.77% ( 1.13)
86.47% ( 0.38) 13.53% ( -0.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.41% ( 0.76) 40.59% ( -0.76)
70.52% ( -2.23) 29.48% ( 2.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.51% ( -2.81) 65.48% ( 2.81)
Willem II 55.43%
RKC Waalwijk 23%
Draw 21.58%
Willem II Draw RKC Waalwijk 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.43% 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58% 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23%
How you voted: Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk
Willem II
Draw
RKC Waalwijk
20
rhs 2.0
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