Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
