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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
20.3% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() | 55.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% (![]() | 50.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% (![]() | 72.71% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.49% (![]() | 39.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.8% (![]() | 76.2% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.95% (![]() | 18.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.05% (![]() | 48.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 6.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.3% | 1-1 @ 11.33% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 10.45% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
11 | FC Twente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |