Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.