Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Panathinaikos0 - 1Ajax
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Panathinaikos and Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Sturm Graz
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Ajax |
42.22% ( -8.99) | 23.31% ( 0.1) | 34.47% ( 8.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( 5.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( 4.62) | 37.91% ( -4.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( 4.77) | 60.16% ( -4.77) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -1.71) | 18.4% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.45% ( -2.98) | 49.55% ( 2.98) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 8.04) | 22.06% ( -8.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.59% ( 10.84) | 55.41% ( -10.84) |
| Score Analysis |
Panathinaikos 42.22%
Ajax 34.47%
Draw 23.31%
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.88) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -2.12)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -2.24)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -1.53)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.48)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.76)Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.84)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.97)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.5)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 1.37) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1.02)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 1.36)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 1.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.89)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.72)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.57)Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.47% |
How you voted: Finalist 1 vs Finalist 1
Finalist 1
69.2%Draw
15.4%Finalist 1
15.4%13
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2016 6pm
Form Guide
