MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:37:43| >> :600:912622:912622:
Alfreton Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
Spennymoor

Waldock (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Biggleswade Town 0-6 Alfreton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
50.42%24.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.44%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.25%
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 50.42%
    Spennymoor Town 24.69%
    Draw 24.88%
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Alfreton
2-1
Spennymoor
Oliver (12'), Day (38')
Taylor (76')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Spennymoor
2-1
Alfreton
Harris (42'), Greenfield (60')
Riley (8')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Riley (2'), Rhead (13'), Smith (28')
Blackett (23', 69')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Spennymoor
0-0
Alfreton
Branson (23')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Branson (40'), Sutton (43'), Rhead (58')
Mulhern (19'), Taylor (67')
rhs 2.0
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