FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 0Spennymoor
Waldock (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Biggleswade Town 0-6 Alfreton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
50.42% | 24.89% ( -0) | 24.69% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% ( 0) | 50.52% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% ( 0) | 72.44% |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% ( 0) | 20.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.74% ( 0) | 52.25% |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% ( 0) | 35.14% |