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Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 1
Spennymoor

Oliver (12'), Day (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Taylor (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 5-2 Banbury
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
62.34% (-0.199 -0.2) 22% (0.157 0.16) 15.66% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (-0.551 -0.55)50.22% (0.556 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82% (-0.494 -0.49)72.18% (0.498 0.5)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.248 -0.25)15.57% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (-0.468 -0.47)44.53% (0.473 0.47)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.29% (-0.274 -0.27)44.71% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.3% (-0.221 -0.22)80.7% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 62.33%
    Spennymoor Town 15.66%
    Draw 22%
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 12.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.46% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 62.33%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 15.66%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Spennymoor
2-1
Alfreton
Harris (42'), Greenfield (60')
Riley (8')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Riley (2'), Rhead (13'), Smith (28')
Blackett (23', 69')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Spennymoor
0-0
Alfreton
Branson (23')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Branson (40'), Sutton (43'), Rhead (58')
Mulhern (19'), Taylor (67')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Spennymoor
0-2
Alfreton
Ceesay (41'), Hobson (69')
rhs 2.0
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