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Chesterfield
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
West Brom logo

Chesterfield
3 - 3
West Brom

Williams (7'), Dobra (36', 41')
Quigley (64')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Thomas-Asante (2', 90+3'), Grant (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Chesterfield and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Scunthorpe
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Chesterfield 1-3 West Bromwich Albion

A Chesterfield side with a taste for goals and victories on their own patch should experience some joy against a ravaged West Brom backline, but the odd consolation goal may be the only aspect of the game worth looking back on. While Corberan is unlikely to go gung-ho and risk any more injuries on Saturday, the in-form Baggies should still get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawWest Bromwich Albion
29.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.99% (0.0029999999999966 0) 45.4% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)65.81% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.78% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 29.62%
    West Bromwich Albion 45.4%
    Draw 24.99%
ChesterfieldDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs West Brom

Chesterfield
26.5%
Draw
5.9%
West Bromwich Albion
67.6%
34
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