FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
We said: Chesterfield 1-3 West Bromwich Albion
A Chesterfield side with a taste for goals and victories on their own patch should experience some joy against a ravaged West Brom backline, but the odd consolation goal may be the only aspect of the game worth looking back on.
While Corberan is unlikely to go gung-ho and risk any more injuries on Saturday, the in-form Baggies should still get the job done in relatively routine fashion.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.4% . A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.61%) . The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%) . The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood .
Result Chesterfield Draw West Bromwich Albion 29.62% ( 0.01) 24.99% ( 0) 45.4% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0)
52.41% 47.59% ( 0)
30.21% ( 0) 69.79% ( 0)
70.26% ( 0.01) 29.75% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.19% ( 0.01) 65.81% ( -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
79% ( -0) 21% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.22% ( -0.01) 53.78% ( 0.01)
Chesterfield 29.62%
West Bromwich Albion 45.4%
Draw 24.99%
Chesterfield Draw West Bromwich Albion 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.62% 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.99% 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.4%
How you voted: Chesterfield vs West Brom
Chesterfield
Draw
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
67.6%
34
rhs 2.0
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