Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Road win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Heanor Town had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Road win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 1-3 (6.24%). The likeliest Heanor Town win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
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