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Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Elche

Granada
2 - 1
Elche

Quina (31'), Puertas (79')
Perez (24'), Molina (47'), Diaz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boye (40')
Mojica (34'), Josema (72')

Preview: Granada vs. Elche - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Granada will be looking to put an end to a run of six league games without a win on Sunday when they host an Elche side who sit second bottom in the La Liga table.

The hosts advanced through to the Europa League round of 16 on Thursday night, while Elche suffered a 3-0 thrashing to Barcelona in their last game.


Match preview

Granada manager Diego Martinez pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Last time out, Granada travelled to Italy to take on Napoli in the second leg of their Europa League round-of-32 tie, with the Spanish side going into the game with a 2-0 lead.

That was quickly put under pressure when Piotr Zielinski put the side from Naples ahead on the night after just three minutes, before Angel Montoro scored to restore his side's two-goal cushion.

Fabian then found the net for Napoli in the second half, but the Italian outfit could not find an equaliser and Granada secured a 3-2 aggregate victory to move through to the round of 16, where they will take on Molde.

However, their recent league form has not matched that European success, as they have failed to win in their last six La Liga outings.

Most recently, Diego Martinez's side fell to a disappointing 3-2 away defeat to basement side Huesca, when Domingos Quina put Granada ahead before three goals in the first half for the hosts turned the game on its head, and Alberto Soro's second-half goal was not enough to salvage a point.

As a result of their poor recent league form, Los Nazaries have fallen to 10th place in La Liga, meaning they are no longer in pole position to secure Europa League qualification for the second consecutive season.

However, a win on Sunday would see their situation change, as they would jump back up to eighth spot and vastly improve their chances of securing continental football for next campaign.

Elche's Fidel celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on December 30, 2020© Reuters

They come up against an Elche side who will be desperate for a win of their own, as they look to escape the bottom three.

Last time out, Fran Escriba's side were punished at the Camp Nou as Lionel Messi scored a brace followed by a Jordi Alba goal which put the game out of sight, sealing the three points for Barcelona and condemning Elche to their 10th league loss of the season.

Before that defeat, Escriba's men picked up a crucial victory for their survival bid, as they defeated Eibar 1-0 thanks to a first-half goal from Dani Calvo.

That result meant that Los Franjiverdes now sit level on points with both Real Valladolid and Eibar, who occupy the two spaces above them, meaning a win on Sunday could move them out of the relegation zone.

Granada La Liga form: DLDDLL
Granada form (all competitions): LDLWLL

Elche La Liga form: LLDLWL


Team News

Granada players celebrate overcoming Napoli in the Europa League on February 25, 2021© Reuters

Granada will remain without several players through injury, as forward Luis Suarez and midfielder Luis Milla continue their spells on the sidelines.

They will also be without centre-back German Sanchez, who was shown a red card in added time in the defeat to Huesca.

Meanwhile, the visitors should have a full squad to pick from for this game with no major injury worries.

Their attack will be led by Lucas Boye, who has netted four La Liga goals this campaign.

Granada possible starting lineup:
Diaz; Foulquier, Duarte, Perez, Neva; Eteki, Quina; Soro, Montoro, Kenedy; Molina

Elche possible starting lineup:
Badia; Barragan, Gonzalo, Calvo, Mojica; Morente, Mfulu, Guti, Rigoni; Carrillo, Boye


SM words green background

We say: Granada 2-1 Elche

With the boost of confidence brought about by their advancement to the final 16 of the Europa League, we see Granada getting back to winning ways in the league with a narrow home win here.

While Elche will be battling hard to jump out of the relegation zone, we expect them to fall just short against a Granada side who are also desperate to move up the league table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Granada vs Elche

Granada
80.9%
Draw
14.9%
Elche
4.3%
47
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Granada players celebrate overcoming Napoli in the Europa League on February 25, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing de SantanderRacing26146640281248
2Huesca26137637211646
3ElcheElche26137634191546
4MirandesMirandes26136732211145
5Almeria26128646351144
6Real Oviedo2612863731644
7Levante261110539271243
8Granada26118742311141
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon269983430436
10Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo269893631535
11Real ZaragozaZaragoza2697103632434
12CadizCadiz2681083634234
13Albacete2681083336-334
14EibarEibar2696112427-333
15CordobaCordoba2696113341-833
16Malaga2661462728-132
17CastellonCastellon2695123537-232
18Burgos2586112029-930
19Eldense2667132439-1525
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol25410111637-2122
21TenerifeTenerife2647152138-1719
22CartagenaCartagena2643191747-3015


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