MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 01:44:10| >> :60:2304:2304:
Egypt national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Egypt
1 - 0
New Zealand

Mohamed (29' pen.)
Trezeguet (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boxall (49'), Stamenic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Egypt and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Congo DR (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

New Zealand

All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-1 New Zealand
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Egypt 2-1 New Zealand

 Egypt should have too much for their visitors, who come into this one on the back of an awful streak of results in friendly games. By contrast, the Pharaohs are near perfect in exhibition matches, giving the hosts the edge in Hassan's first game in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawNew Zealand
67.83% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41) 20.05% (0.225 0.23) 12.11% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.46% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-0.496 -0.5)49.54% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-0.446 -0.45)71.57% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (-0.277 -0.28)13.62% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.21% (-0.555 -0.56)40.78% (0.552 0.55)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)84.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 67.82%
    New Zealand 12.11%
    Draw 20.05%
EgyptDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 13.49% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 13.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 67.82%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.096 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.05%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.3% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: New Zealand vs Egypt

New Zealand
35.7%
Draw
9.5%
Egypt
54.8%
42
rhs 2.0
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