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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
5 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Lukian (22' pen., 44', 53'), Ikeda (38'), Nemoto (75')
Suzuki (28')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Yamada (20')
Graca (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Jubilo Iwata

Looking at past results between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata, we expect a cagey affair at the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka as both sides look to pull clear of the danger zone. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawJubilo Iwata
39.79% (-0.237 -0.24) 27.09% (0.117 0.12) 33.12% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.433 -0.43)55.05% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68% (-0.359 -0.36)76.31% (0.358 0.36)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)27.07% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.437 -0.44)62.45% (0.437 0.44)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.137 -0.14)31.12% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.163 -0.16)67.45% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 39.78%
    Jubilo Iwata 33.12%
    Draw 27.09%
Shonan BellmareDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.12%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 6am
Gameweek 16
Jubilo Iwata
3-2
Shonan Bellmare
Yamada (45+5'), Peixoto (82'), Gomes (86')
Uehara (15'), Matsubara (63'), Suzuki (73')
Lukian (1'), Fukuda (29' pen.)
Sugioka (54')
Jul 30, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 23
Jubilo Iwata
1-0
Shonan Bellmare
Kaneko (77')
Uehara (72'), Omori (90+6')

Tanaka (17')
Apr 10, 2022 7am
Gameweek 8
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Jubilo Iwata
Sugioka (32'), Ohno (45+7'), Barada (61')
Omori (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Titans
@
Bears
6pm
Patriots
@
Bengals
6pm
Cardinals
@
Bills
6pm
Texans
@
Colts
6pm
Jags
@
Dolphins
6pm
Steelers
@
Falcons
6pm
Vikings
@
Giants
6pm
Panthers
@
Saints
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Chargers
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
Cowboys
@
Browns
9.25pm
Washington
@
Buccaneers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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