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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
5 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Lukian (22' pen., 44', 53'), Ikeda (38'), Nemoto (75')
Suzuki (28')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Yamada (20')
Graca (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Jubilo Iwata

 Looking at past results between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata, we expect a cagey affair at the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka as both sides look to pull clear of the danger zone. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawJubilo Iwata
39.79% (-0.237 -0.24) 27.09% (0.117 0.12) 33.12% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.433 -0.43)55.05% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68% (-0.359 -0.36)76.31% (0.358 0.36)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)27.07% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.437 -0.44)62.45% (0.437 0.44)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.137 -0.14)31.12% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.163 -0.16)67.45% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 39.78%
    Jubilo Iwata 33.12%
    Draw 27.09%
Shonan BellmareDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.12%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 6am
Gameweek 16
Jubilo Iwata
3-2
Shonan Bellmare
Yamada (45+5'), Peixoto (82'), Gomes (86')
Uehara (15'), Matsubara (63'), Suzuki (73')
Lukian (1'), Fukuda (29' pen.)
Sugioka (54')
Jul 30, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 23
Jubilo Iwata
1-0
Shonan Bellmare
Kaneko (77')
Uehara (72'), Omori (90+6')

Tanaka (17')
Apr 10, 2022 7am
Gameweek 8
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Jubilo Iwata
Sugioka (32'), Ohno (45+7'), Barada (61')
Omori (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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