Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (5.73%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
59.52% ( 0.05) | 22.35% ( -0.06) | 18.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% ( 0.24) | 47.64% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( 0.22) | 69.84% ( -0.22) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.38% ( 0.1) | 15.62% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.37% ( 0.19) | 44.63% ( -0.19) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( 0.14) | 40.06% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( 0.13) | 76.71% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.5% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | GironaGirona | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 31 |
8 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |