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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Celta Vigo logo

Racing
2 - 3
Celta Vigo

Martin (8'), Rodriguez Galiano (70' og.)
Rodriguez (31'), Carlos Arana (76'), Vicente (90+5')
Mantilla (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alfon (20', 90+2'), Castro (86' og.)
Mingueza (32'), Beltran (40'), Sotelo (69'), Swedberg (90'), Iglesias (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Racing de Santander and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-2 Eldense
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

We said: Racing de Santander 1-2 Celta Vigo

This is a fascinating match, as Racing have had a strong campaign in the Segunda Division, and there is no question that the hosts have the tools to harm Celta on Sunday. That said, the Sky Blues will be able to call upon the greater quality, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way into the round of 16 this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Racing de SantanderDrawCelta Vigo
41.4% (-0.278 -0.28) 27.26% (-0.099 -0.1) 31.34% (0.377 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.439 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (0.49 0.49)56.11% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.397 0.4)77.18% (-0.395 -0.39)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.079000000000008 0.08)26.69% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.105 0.1)61.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.527 0.53)32.89% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.581 0.58)69.47% (-0.57900000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Santander 41.4%
    Celta Vigo 31.34%
    Draw 27.25%
Racing de SantanderDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.34%

How you voted: Racing vs Celta Vigo

Racing de Santander
19.0%
Draw
28.6%
Celta Vigo
52.4%
21
rhs 2.0
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