Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.