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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Wrexham

Omochere (86')
Thomas (45+4'), Lindsay (57'), Wilson (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (18')
Palmer (45+4'), O'Connell (48'), McClean (90+6'), Fletcher (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Wrexham

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wrexham

 With the Gas struggling to create many opportunities of late, it is difficult to see them scoring against League One's strongest defence. On the other hand, Wrexham are in the hunt for promotion this season and are at risk of falling behind in the title race unless they pick up all three points, so expect Parkinson's side to make up for their draw last time out with a win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawWrexham
32.44% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 27.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.46% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.46% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)31.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)68.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)26.79% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.44%
    Wrexham 40.45%
    Draw 27.09%
Bristol RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Wrexham

Bristol Rovers
35.0%
Draw
15.0%
Wrexham
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2014 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Jennings (90')
Evans (45')
Blissett (54'), Taylor (84')
> Match Report
Sep 9, 2014 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Wrexham
Monkhouse (34')
Lockyer (31'), Mansell (37'), Taylor (54'), Sinclair (83')

Hudson (33'), Jennings (68')
Carrington (64')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Wrexham
Whitley (87')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Llewellyn (22'), Craddock (90')
Williams (13')
Llewellyn (65')

Haldane (42')
Apr 17, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Derbyshire (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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