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Stockport County
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Wrexham AFC

Stockport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Barry (24')
Southam-Hales (3'), Horsfall (6'), Barry (20'), Olaofe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannon (45'), Lee (63'), Rathbone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stockport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Wrexham

Stockport have won each of their previous three home games against Wrexham, and while we do not expect them to replicate the 5-0 win from last season's home clash, we think that they will do enough to extend that run by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
45.2% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.82% (0.137 0.14) 29.97% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.478 -0.48)46.69% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.449 -0.45)68.95% (0.452 0.45)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.346 -0.35)20.71% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.551 -0.55)53.32% (0.555 0.56)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.04% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.116 -0.12)64.95% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 45.2%
    Wrexham 29.97%
    Draw 24.82%
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Stockport vs Wrexham

Stockport County
44.9%
Draw
24.6%
Wrexham
30.4%
69
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
2-1
Stockport
Palmer (47'), Cannon (88')
Lemonheigh-Evans (29')
Madden (59'), Camps (67'), Pye (90+6')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stockport
5-0
Wrexham
Olaofe (21', 30', 50'), Barry (32'), Madden (90')
Olaofe (22')

Dalby (48')
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Wrexham
3-0
Stockport
Palmer (34', 46'), Mullin (45+3')
Cleworth (69'), Tozer (90+1')

Quigley (39'), Hippolyte (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Stockport
2-1
Wrexham
Madden (48', 80')
Madden (72'), Whitfield (80'), Southam-Hales (83'), Reid (86')
Mullin (2')
Mullin (2'), Lennon (90')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
0-3
Stockport

Jarvis (67')
Reid (14', 26'), Rooney (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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