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Barnsley
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers

FT
(aet)
Bristol Rovers win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We say: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

While Barnsley's momentum has slowed in recent weeks, they still have the quality to pick up another home victory against Bristol Rovers to progress to the third round of the FA Cup even if both sides opt to rotate for the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
47.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 22.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.23% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.51% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.02% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)45.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 47.73%
    Bristol Rovers 29.35%
    Draw 22.91%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.35%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
84.0%
Bristol Rovers
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Barnsley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')
Sotiriou (37')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Barnsley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
rhs 2.0
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