Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
for
We said: Derby County 3-1 Charlton Athletic
Derby have outscored all but two teams for home goals in League One, and they are backed to return to winning ways at Pride Park this weekend. Despite Charlton's run of wins on the road, that three-game streak is likely to end against a side that have not tasted defeat at their ground since late October. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
71.57% ( -0.01) | 17.28% ( 0) | 11.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.01) | 39.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.01) | 62.19% ( 0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( -0.01) | 9.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.34% ( -0.01) | 32.66% ( 0.01) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.82% | 45.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.93% ( -0) | 81.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.56% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 11.15% |
