Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
The Match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.49% ( 0.18) | 21.59% ( 0.09) | 57.92% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.17) | 40.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.17) | 63.25% ( 0.18) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.08) | 33.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.09) | 70.26% ( -0.09) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.14) | 13.87% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.74% ( -0.27) | 41.26% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 57.92% |
How you voted: Leicester vs Newcastle
