MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 18:29:48| >> :120:13064:13064:
Derby logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
West Ham logo

Derby
0 - 2
West Ham


Smith (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowen (10'), Antonio (50')
Soucek (70')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United are through to the fifth round of the FA Cup after securing a routine 2-0 victory against Derby County at Pride Park on Monday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Derby County and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
36.21% (0.649 0.65) 25.95% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 37.84% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 54.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.213 -0.21)49.96% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.19 -0.19)71.94% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.27800000000001 0.28)26.7% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.366 0.37)61.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.488 -0.49)25.78% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.665 -0.66)60.73% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 36.21%
    West Ham United 37.84%
    Draw 25.95%
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.149 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 6% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Derby vs West Ham

Derby County
33.1%
Draw
17.4%
West Ham United
49.6%
236
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2011 1pm
Derby
2-1
West Ham
Green (10'), Ball (2')
Nouble (42')
Lansbury (24'), O'Brien (57'), Reid (66'), O'Neil (90')
Nov 26, 2011 5.20pm
West Ham
3-1
Derby
Nolan (64'), Noble (74' pen.), Cole (44')
McCartney (40')

Davies (44')
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
West Ham
2-1
Derby
Zamora (20'), Cole (77')
Noble (80'), Parker (83')
Mears (65')
Stubbs (74')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Derby
0-5
West Ham

Oakley (21'), Fagan (89')
Lewis (55' og.), Solano (69'), Etherington (51'), Bowyer (42', 59')
Bowyer (34')
Jan 23, 2005 3pm
West Ham
1-2
Derby
Fletcher (26')
Fletcher (22')
Rasiak (10', 63')
Camp (42'), Rasiak (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132


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