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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
43.26% ( 0.65) | 25.28% ( -0.3) | 31.45% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% ( 1.18) | 48.05% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% ( 1.07) | 70.22% ( -1.07) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.82) | 22.16% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 1.22) | 55.56% ( -1.22) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( 0.36) | 28.73% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( 0.44) | 64.56% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |