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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
62.35% ( 0.04) | 20.3% ( -0.03) | 17.35% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( 0.13) | 39.86% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( 0.14) | 62.22% ( -0.13) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% ( 0.05) | 12.25% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.03% ( 0.11) | 37.97% ( -0.1) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.65% ( 0.07) | 36.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.87% ( 0.07) | 73.13% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 62.35% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |