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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield


Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Crawley did not make a great start to life without their previous manager Lindsey, and they were also very wasteful in front of goal in their defeat against Bolton. Meanwhile for Mansfield, Clough has undoubtedly got his side believing they can compete at this level, and with the plethora of attacking options at his disposal, we think the Stags could take all three points on Tuesday and win their fourth league game in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
22.12% (-4.339 -4.34) 21.96% (-0.229 -0.23) 55.92% (4.567 4.57)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-4.377 -4.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-3.484 -3.48)40.41% (3.483 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.679 -3.68)62.78% (3.678 3.68)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-5.346 -5.35)31.83% (5.345 5.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-6.597 -6.6)68.27% (6.596 6.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.274 0.27)14.34% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.529 0.53)42.19% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 22.12%
    Mansfield Town 55.92%
    Draw 21.95%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.677 -0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.694 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.344 0.34)
0-1 @ 8.87% (1.422 1.42)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.45 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.984 0.98)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.499 0.5)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

How you voted: Crawley vs Mansfield

Crawley Town
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Mansfield Town
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Mansfield
1-4
Crawley
Boateng (80')
Gordon (4'), Tsaroulla (24'), Orsi (55'), Lolas (56')
Wright (45+1'), Gordon (64'), Kelley (81')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crawley
1-3
Mansfield
Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')
Williams (68')
Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Mansfield
4-1
Crawley
Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Ogungbo (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Exeter CityExeter10613126619
5Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
7Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough114341921-215
13Stevenage1042487114
14Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham113531214-214
16Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
17Reading94141314-113
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury122281322-98
22Crawley TownCrawley10217818-107
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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