We said: Stockport County 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
Stockport are in a good place after adapting to life in League Two admirably, and they have the attacking talent to take matches away from their opponents at this level.
Crewe will be refreshed and ready for a real battle after over a fortnight without football, but the hosts cheered on by a sold-out Edgeley Park should have enough to earn all three points on Monday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.