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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham

Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Swindon
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

 Wimbledon may have won just one of their previous six home league games, but they will still head into the final round of fixtures of 2024 with the league's joint second-best home record, and we think that they will take advantage of their familiar surroundings to claim a narrow victory, especially as Gillingham have lost four of their last six away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
52.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
    Gillingham 22.07%
    Draw 25.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Gillingham
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Masterson (85')

Tilley (43')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Gillingham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ehmer (58'), Alexander (66')
Al-Hamadi (52')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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