MX23RW : Monday, January 6 21:19:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Montpellier

Troyes
0 - 1
Montpellier


Agoume (8'), Chavalerin (81')
Ndiaga Yade (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khazri (90')
Chotard (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 2-3 Montpellier HSC

 Given that Montpellier have shown some improved signs in recent weeks, we expect them to emerge as narrow victors, in what should be an end-to-end game with plenty of goals. La Paillade are heading into the match off the back of a confidence-boosting victory, while Troyes have been in very poor form for a long time, and we cannot see that changing on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
38.77% (0.78 0.78) 26.29% (-0.133 -0.13) 34.93% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.505 0.51)51.55% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.438 0.44)73.34% (-0.431 -0.43)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.669 0.67)26% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.89 0.89)61.03% (-0.883 -0.88)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.146 -0.15)28.23% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.186 -0.19)63.93% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 38.77%
    Montpellier HSC 34.93%
    Draw 26.29%
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Troyes vs Montpellier

Troyes
34.0%
Draw
20.0%
Montpellier HSC
46.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
3-2
Troyes
Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
0-1
Troyes

Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
Savanier (63')
Chavalerin (74')
Biancone (21')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Touzghar (37')
Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Savanier (87')
Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
Thuler (79')
May 12, 2018 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Troyes
Cozza (58')
Azamoum (31')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Montpellier

Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
Vizcarrondo (90')
Mendes (32')
Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!