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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Austin
1 - 2
Salt Lake

Cascante (90+2')
Rigoni (43'), Urruti (62'), Gallagher (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rubin (15', 81')
Davis (7'), Glad (34'), Loffelsend (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, June 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake

 Although Austin FC have shown signs of improvement recently, Real Salt Lake have been decent away from home in recent weeks, picking up five points from their last three games. As such, we expect Saturday's game to finish all-square, with Austin just about managing to keep their place in the MLS playoffs.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
59.12% (0.245 0.24) 22.04% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 18.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)45.26% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)67.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (0.067000000000007 0.07)14.95% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.64% (0.123 0.12)43.36% (-0.122 -0.12)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (-0.232 -0.23)37.87% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (-0.224 -0.22)74.64% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.11%
    Real Salt Lake 18.84%
    Draw 22.03%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Austin vs Salt Lake

Austin FC
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Real Salt Lake
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-2
Austin
Glad (22')
Gallagher (9'), Wolff (34')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
First Round
Austin
2-2
Salt Lake
 Austin win 3-1 on penalties
Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
Cordova (3', 15')
Sep 15, 2022 2.15am
Austin
3-0
Salt Lake
Djitte (60', 76', 80')
May 15, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-1
Austin

Silva (63'), Caldwell (90+2')

Driussi (38'), Jimenez (45+2'), Urruti (65'), Valencia (78')
Pereira (47')
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 37
Austin
2-1
Salt Lake
Dominguez (17', 55')
Pereira (90+2')
Kreilach (64')
rhs 2.0
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