We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Austin FC
After a slow start to the season, Austin FC will set out in search of a pick-me-up as they look to get their season up and running. However, they face a Portland side who have settled and hit their stride in recent weeks.
Austin have lost their last three away matches and we predict this run will continue with the Timbers prevailing in this one.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.