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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
St Louis City

Dallas
2 - 0
St Louis City

Ferreira (28' pen.), Burgess (81')
Illarramendi (45+11'), Ibeagha (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nilsson (26'), Parker (34'), Lowen (68'), Thorisson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 St Louis City

In the midst of winless streaks, both teams will fight hard for a victory in Sunday's meeting, and we anticipate a tight contest with the hosts particularly keen to bounce back under new management. We put the two sides on a fairly level playing field and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawSt Louis City
60.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.07% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.8% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.038999999999994 0.04)63.37% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40%
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.061999999999998 0.06)35.41% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.17% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 60.13%
    St Louis City 18.8%
    Draw 21.07%
DallasDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39%
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Dallas vs St Louis City

Dallas
Draw
St Louis City
Dallas
48.4%
Draw
41.9%
St Louis City
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Aug 31, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
2-1
Dallas
Markanich (82'), Theyr Thorisson (85')
Stroud (44'), Vassilev (90+4')
Ansah (90+5')
Obrian (46'), Farfan (60'), Illarramendi (67'), Quignon (75')
Paes (12')
Jun 8, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
St Louis City
Ferreira (80'), Farfan (89')

Gioacchini (25'), Ostrak (45+2'), Parker (47'), Bartlett (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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