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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Austin FC

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Austin FC

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
55.17% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.28% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.026 0.03)70.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.4% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.173 -0.17)47.83% (0.17 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.256 0.26)37.12% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.254 0.25)73.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 55.16%
    Austin FC 21.28%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Dallas vs Austin

Dallas
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
1-0
Austin
Burgess (90+7')
Arriola (13'), Farfan (27'), Jimenez (56'), Illarramendi (74')

Pereira (45')
Pereira (67')
Jun 22, 2023 4.07am
Austin
3-0
Dallas
Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')

Quignon (25')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami24155454381650
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati24153643301348
3Columbus Crew22127346202643
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2491143930938
5New York City FCNY City2411493529637
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2410682825336
7Orlando City249693837133
8CF MontrealMontreal246993448-1427
9Toronto2583143347-1427
10Nashville SCNashville2468102636-1026
11DC United2568113550-1526
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2467113335-225
13Chicago Fire2467112940-1125
14Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2459104242024
15New England RevolutionNew England2271142246-2422

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy25137547341346
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake24128449311844
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles23135545301544
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2311574031938
5Colorado RapidsColorado2511594741638
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2410773426837
7Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
8Houston DynamoHouston239773127434
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2486103841-330
10Austin FCAustin2486102635-930
11Dallas2485113738-129
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2565144051-1123
13St Louis City24410103145-1422
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2442183159-2814


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