Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | St Louis City |
66.89% ( 1.88) | 19.07% ( -0.21) | 14.04% ( -1.67) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( -3.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.15% ( -2.62) | 40.85% ( 2.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% ( -2.73) | 63.23% ( 2.73) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.69% ( -0.26) | 11.31% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.05% ( -0.57) | 35.95% ( 0.57) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.8% ( -3.88) | 41.2% ( 3.88) |