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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
TQL Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Evander (70', 75')
Engel (9'), Kubo (27'), Yedlin (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Latte Lath (50'), Powell (88' og.)
Reilly (27'), Edwards (69'), Latte Lath (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United

The two sides met in a pre-season friendly back in February, playing out a 2-2 draw – however, much has changed since then, and the momentum now appears to be with Cincy given their strong home form this season, which is why we think they will secure a third successive MLS victory over Atlanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
55.33% (0.666 0.67) 22.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 21.88% (-0.726 -0.73)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-1.201 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-1.124 -1.12)44.47% (1.125 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-1.098 -1.1)66.84% (1.099 1.1)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)15.94% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (-0.308 -0.31)45.21% (0.308 0.31)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-1.295 -1.3)34.33% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-1.409 -1.41)71.04% (1.411 1.41)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.32%
    Atlanta United 21.88%
    Draw 22.79%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.417 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.34 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Atlanta United
16.7%
18
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew8530126618
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC8512137616
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati8512109116
4Inter MiamiInter Miami7430126615
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia8413139413
6Nashville SCNashville8413128413
7Orlando City83321512312
8Chicago Fire83321412212
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls833297212
10New York City FCNY City83231111011
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta82331113-29
12New England RevolutionNew England721447-37
13DC United8134918-96
14Toronto8044713-64
15CF MontrealMontreal8026413-92

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver86111761119
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8431117415
3Portland TimbersPortland84221310314
4Colorado RapidsColorado84221111014
5Austin FCAustin841368-213
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles84041011-112
7Dallas83231011-111
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes83141612410
9Seattle SoundersSeattle8233911-29
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8305813-59
11St Louis City822456-18
12Houston DynamoHouston8134612-66
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas81161016-64
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8035615-93
15San Diego FC00000000


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