MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:11:26| >> :600:1274825:1274825:
Sheffield United logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7pm UK
Bramall Lane
Cardiff City logo

Sheff Utd
0 - 1
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ashford (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield United 1-0 Cardiff City

There will be a winner one way or another at Bramall Lane as there are now no FA Cup replays. Cardiff will fancy their chances against an injury-hit Sheffield United side, but we feel that the hosts will have just enough to edge themselves into the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawCardiff City
45.9% (-0.104 -0.1) 25.3%28.8% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (0.073 0.07)49.38% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.42% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.52% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.58% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (0.11999999999999 0.12)31.25% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (0.136 0.14)67.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 45.9%
    Cardiff City 28.8%
    Draw 25.3%
Sheffield UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.8%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Cardiff

Sheffield United
78.6%
Draw
11.4%
Cardiff City
10.0%
140
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff
0-2
Sheff Utd

Siopis (27'), Meite (45+1'), Bagan (61')
Moore (65', 73')
Peck (50')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Sheff Utd
4-1
Cardiff
McAtee (24'), Robinson (54'), Ndiaye (80'), Clark (85')
Kaba (19' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sheff Utd
1-0
Cardiff
Ndiaye (47')
Norwood (67')

Bagan (57'), McGuinness (60'), Ng (71')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
2-3
Sheff Utd
Harris (32'), McGuinness (90')
Collins (44')
Morrison (52')
Gibbs-White (61'), Sharp (73'), McGoldrick (75')
Norwood (40')
rhs 2.0
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