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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 2
Atlanta

Ojeda (42')
Ojeda (62'), McGuire (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lobzhanidze (7'), Thiare (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Atlanta United

While Atlanta's pursuit for playoff football goes down to the wire, Orlando City will be looking to secure all three points and guarantee a top-four finish in the East. While we expect both sides to go all out at the Inter & Co Stadium, we are backing the Lions to come away with a fifth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
61.85% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 20.32% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 17.83% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.8% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.257 0.26)39.09% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.58% (0.271 0.27)61.42% (-0.27 -0.27)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.84% (0.10299999999999 0.1)12.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.23% (0.221 0.22)37.77% (-0.222 -0.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (0.123 0.12)35.33% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9% (0.125 0.13)72.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.85%
    Atlanta United 17.83%
    Draw 20.32%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.85%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
Atlanta
2-0
Orlando City
Lobzhanidze (9'), Giakoumakis (70')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')

Jansson (49')
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Orlando City
Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Jansson (45+3'), Cartagena (45+2'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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