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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
New England Revolution

Houston
3 - 1
New England

Quintero (37'), Picault (76' pen., 85')
Picault (51'), Ceren (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gil (63' pen.)
Farrell (31'), McNamara (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 New England
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New England Revolution

 As inconsistent as the Revs have been throughout the regular season, they have a good track record of points in Houston recently, and we believe the extra motivation of being in the playoff hunt will carry them through against a Dynamo side who are not the best when it comes to creating scoring chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
42.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 25.14% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.35% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.8% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.06%
    New England Revolution 32.8%
    Draw 25.14%
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Houston vs New England

Houston Dynamo
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
New England Revolution
55.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Houston
P-P
New England
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
New England
2-1
Houston
Delamea Mlinar (51'), Bunbury (91')
Delamea Mlinar (45'), Farrell (54'), Agudelo (83')
Ceren (25')
Quioto (43'), Cabezas (82'), Fuenmayor (86')
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
Houston
0-2
New England

Machado (69'), Fuenmayor (86')
Beasley (35')
Bunbury (15'), Penilla (71')
Somi (52'), Fagundez (64')
Apr 8, 2017 7pm
New England
2-0
Houston
Kamara (52'), Agudelo (72')
Mar 6, 2016 8pm
Houston
3-3
New England
Maidana (45'), Wenger (50'), Barnes (77')
Anibaba (55')
Fagundez (4'), Davies (52'), Kobayashi (93')
Bunbury (27'), Watson (49')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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