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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

 The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
59.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.123 -0.12)42.94% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.122 -0.12)65.34% (0.123 0.12)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.148 -0.15)36.35% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.149 -0.15)73.13% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 59.44%
    Toronto 18.99%
    Draw 21.56%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Toronto
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Toronto
2-0
Inter Miami
Osorio (48'), Kaye (69')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Higuain (86')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
2-1
Toronto
Mota (24'), Lassiter (44')
Insigne (28')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 40
Inter Miami
3-0
Toronto
> Preview
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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