Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.