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Major League Soccer
Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Nashville
1 - 2
Houston

Zimmerman (90+6')
Bunbury (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ferreira (30' pen., 39')
Hadebe (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-3 America (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-0 Houston Dynamo

 The Dynamo have conceded multiple goals in three straight road games, and having to contend with one of the frontrunners for MLS MVP in Hany Mukhtar will make their weekend task incredibly daunting. Not only is Mukhtar in fine form, but the Boys in Gold have rediscovered their defensive game, and that could spell bad news for Houston. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawHouston Dynamo
61.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 20.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 17.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (0.079000000000001 0.08)63.34% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (0.033000000000001 0.03)12.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.99% (0.063000000000002 0.06)39.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (0.044999999999995 0.04)36.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 61.76%
    Houston Dynamo 17.61%
    Draw 20.63%
Nashville SCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81%
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.61%

How you voted: Nashville vs Houston

Nashville SC
100%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-0
Nashville
Carrasquilla (16'), Quintero (53' pen.)
Hadebe (42'), Clark (42'), Quintero (49')
Lundqvist (35')

Miller (45+1'), Maher (46'), Zubak (86'), Zimmerman (90+1')
Oct 15, 2020 1am
Houston
1-3
Nashville
Quintero (75')
Figueroa (22'), Martinez (82')
Williams (15', 23'), Danladi (19')
Beckeles (86')
Sep 26, 2020 8.30pm
Nashville
1-1
Houston
Rios (49')
Figueroa (89')
Lundqvist (75'), Lemoine (81')
Aug 6, 2020 1am
Nashville
P-P
Houston
May 24, 2020 1.30am
Houston
P-P
Nashville
rhs 2.0
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