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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Real Salt Lake

Seattle
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Rusnak (68')
Vargas (87'), Baker-Whiting (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomez (90+10')
Oviedo (67'), Crooks (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake

Seattle have drawn four times in the league when playing at home this season, the second most of any team in the MLS, and with Salt Lake drawing four times on the road this year, we expect this one to end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawReal Salt Lake
50.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.03% (0.023 0.02) 26.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (-0.111 -0.11)41.29% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)63.69% (0.109 0.11)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)16.33% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.91% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)29.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.067 -0.07)65.04% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 50.96%
    Real Salt Lake 26.01%
    Draw 23.03%
Seattle SoundersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 26.01%

How you voted: Seattle vs Salt Lake

Seattle Sounders
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Real Salt Lake
50.0%
14
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Seattle
Gomez (27'), Luna (58')
Barajas (86'), Barajas (90+2')

Baker (55'), Gomez (85'), Roldan (85')
Apr 30, 2023 2.30am
Mar 5, 2023 3.30am
Aug 15, 2022 3am
Seattle
1-2
Salt Lake
Rusnak (62')
Gomez Andrade (59'), Roldan (70')
Cordova (32'), Brody (64')
Chang (66'), Ruiz (90')
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Salt Lake
1-0
Seattle
Wood (46')
Caldwell (70'), Loffelsend (90+1')

Rusnak (48'), Rowe (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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