Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.