Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
64.08% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() | 15.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% (![]() | 41.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% (![]() | 64.3% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% (![]() | 12.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.75% (![]() | 38.24% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% (![]() | 39.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% (![]() | 76.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-0 @ 10.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.07% | 1-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.54% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 64 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 62 |
3 | York City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Gateshead | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 48 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 45 |
8 | Rochdale | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 43 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Eastleigh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 33 |
17 | Woking | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
21 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 13 |
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