Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
