Luxembourg

2 - 2

N. Ireland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.