MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 12:06:43| >> :600:4741693:4741693:
Luxembourg national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Northern Ireland national football team

Luxembourg
2 - 2
N. Ireland

Korac (72'), Rodrigues (75')
Curci (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Price (19'), Bradley (50')
Spencer (41'), Hume (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Luxembourg 0-3 Northern Ireland

The visitors have been rampant goalscorers of late, and there is no reason to suggest that they would succumb to last-placed Luxembourg. It would not be surprising if Northern Ireland scored multiple times on Monday and earned promotion to League B of the Nations League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
LuxembourgDrawNorthern Ireland
45.19% (1.378 1.38) 28% (-0.268 -0.27) 26.8% (-1.114 -1.11)
Both teams to score 44.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (0.374 0.37)60.58% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (0.279 0.28)80.68% (-0.282 -0.28)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.895 0.89)26.78% (-0.898 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (1.166 1.17)62.06% (-1.169 -1.17)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.729 -0.73)38.85% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.694 -0.69)75.58% (0.69199999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 45.18%
    Northern Ireland 26.8%
    Draw 28%
LuxembourgDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.4% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.8%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs N. Ireland

Luxembourg
14.3%
Draw
4.5%
Northern Ireland
81.3%
112
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League C
N. Ireland
2-0
Luxembourg
McNair (11'), Ballard (17')
Brown (87')

Mahmutovic (45')
Mar 25, 2022 7.15pm
International Friendly
Luxembourg
1-3
N. Ireland
Da Graca (58')
Chanot (20'), Barreiro (41')
Magennis (16'), Davis (83'), Whyte (85')
Charles (80')
Sep 5, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
N. Ireland
1-0
Luxembourg
Malget (37' og.)
Magennis (82'), Flanagan (91')

da Mota (81'), Hall (84')
Sep 10, 2013 7.15pm
Sep 11, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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