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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
1 - 2
Braga

Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Benfica
Sunday, December 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Braga

 Looking at recent meetings between Benfica and Braga, we anticipate an action-packed contest at the Estadio da Luz as both sides look to begin the new year on a winning note. As Aguias have been perfect on home turf this season, and while we expect Braga to put up a fight, we are backing Lage's men to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
64.94% (-0.188 -0.19) 19.34% (0.073 0.07) 15.72% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)38.46% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)60.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)11.13% (0.077 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43% (-0.163 -0.16)35.57% (0.168 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (0.098999999999997 0.1)37.44% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.097000000000001 0.1)74.23% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 64.94%
    Braga 15.72%
    Draw 19.34%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 64.94%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.72%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Braga
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Benfica
3-2
Braga
Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')
Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
0-1
Benfica

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')
Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Silva (67')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
(Aggregate 1-1 | Braga win 5-4 on penalties)
Elmusrati (36')
Guedes (15')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon20162256154150
2Benfica20142446163044
3Porto20133444172742
4Braga20124436201640
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10Rio AveRio Ave206682234-1224
11MoreirenseMoreirense206592328-523
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora2045111833-1517
17SC FarenseFarense2036111328-1515
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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